Monday, November 01, 2004

Plan War and the Hubbert Oil Curve: Nuclear energy is unacceptable for other reasons, but even if massively increased nuclear energy is deployed there is still no timely substitute for oil. Thus the alternatives are: Plan War (the current 'plan'); Plan Titanic (tip whatever fossil fuels are left into the furnace and full steam ahead!); and Plan Powerdown (the only sane option). Unfortunately humanity is not very good at social and future planning and so a more or less disorderly and violent collapse is the pessimistic but realistic outcome. The first thing to go will be airline travel... next time you are in a plane looking down have a good long look because it may be the last time you ever fly.

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